No position
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $11.17
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.17
Polymarket Trader
pinasblanket
0x586fcde808d5642a7b7d90332cb1bd85d5bbdbc2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.64
- Realized PnL
- $77.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $7.85
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$8.12
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$8
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.31
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $7.96
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.14
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.28
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.45
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.27
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $8.31
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.24 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Ethena reach $0.20 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 95% 8.8 shares
- Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 88.4% 8.5 shares
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 93% 8.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88.8% 9.4 shares
- Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No 95% 8.5 shares
- Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 98.8% 7.14 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 89% 6.93 shares
- Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes 96.4% 6.17 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 95.9% 8.5 shares
- Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No 98.3% 5.1 shares