No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $795.32
- Potential payout
- $832.8
- Potential profit
- $37.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $184.05
Polymarket Trader
gaut6375
0x58744f91ed701afdc02d55b0467b09ce62c505f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- $2.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $408.57
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.06
Yes position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $337.45
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $190.26
- Potential payout
- $234.89
- Potential profit
- $44.63
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $23.95
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $177.98
- Potential payout
- $190.36
- Potential profit
- $12.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $50.39
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $179
- Potential profit
- $177.66
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.98
- Potential profit
- $177.98
- User PnL
- -$119.16
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $92.65
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $77.35
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$39.15
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $158.32
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $148.99
- Potential profit
- $147.28
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $144.06
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $143.91
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $123.97
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $21.02
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $13.77
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $132
- Potential profit
- $130.75
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $129.03
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $128.9
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $129.03
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $123.37
- Potential profit
- $117.57
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $63.8
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $46.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$20.4
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $87.44
- Potential payout
- $103.48
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.57
- Potential profit
- $100.57
- User PnL
- -$87.3
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.45
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.29
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.87
No position
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.45
No position
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.68
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.84
No position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.57
Yes position
Will Indiana be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.3
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.5
Yes position
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.13
No position
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.13
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.62
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.4
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.62
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.75
Yes position
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election?
Ends Nov 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.02
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.41
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 12.7% 8 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 5.25 shares
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 7.5 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 59.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 79% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.9% 5.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No 93% 5.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96.3% 11.72 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 96.8% 5.13 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.8% 20 shares
- Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?Yes 36.4% 5 shares