Polymarket Trader

RadarMentions

@radarmentions

0x5874f18a2ca6558ac8671f491f3f99498fd36b11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.1K
Realized PnL: $37.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.39K
Potential profit: $71.39K
User PnL: -$391.56

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $53.08K
Potential profit: $52.05K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$160.57

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $32.24K
Potential profit: $29.55K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $968.59

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $29.83K
Potential profit: $28.5K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $152.38

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.09K
Potential profit: $24.09K
User PnL: -$73.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.89K
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $280

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $254
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$26.82

No position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.52K
Potential profit: $5.52K
User PnL: -$66.2

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$48.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$299.92

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $4.66K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$586.34

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$696

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$153.82

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $4.07K
User PnL: -$395.76

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.82K
User PnL: -$292.33

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$12.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $536.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $82.95

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$958.1

Yes position

Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$115.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$1.94K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61K

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.85K

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $922.7

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.2%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $723.23

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.92

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $676.44

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.03

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.26

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.74

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.93

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 81% 2,363.5 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.4% 7,056.27 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 10,000 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

No 6.3% 383.2 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes 2.6% 326.34 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 2.4% 164.09 shares
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?

No 96.1% 35 shares
Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?

No 59.9% 941.78 shares
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?

No 47.8% 101.26 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 64% 1,209.27 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 300 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?

No 13.2% 643.56 shares