Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x18C9Bf0e806b302E8c561a0dE9F6615d3c5987F3-1770542140390
0x58867f8b27366dde08cd807c11a8d983444bd68f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.55
- Realized PnL
- $120.61
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $80.18
- Potential profit
- $74.28
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $40.7
- Potential profit
- $30.32
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown 1% 2,000 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 99.9% 120 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 25% 120 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp 3% 66.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp 5% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp 10% 50 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 27.3% 3.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp 61% 8.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp 62% 8.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 59% 8.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETDown 59% 8.47 shares