Polymarket Trader

lailailaio

0x588dc3fb6d65c2bb4516fcddd62b012faee4a246

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.25
Realized PnL: $325.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.65
Potential profit: $240.65
User PnL: -$94.6

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Starmer out by June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8

No position

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.31
Potential profit: $42.31
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Solana dip to $180 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $36.14
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.5

Tyra Caterina Grant position

Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 24-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as Secretary of Health and Human Services in Trump's first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.11

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Solana dip to $150 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

No position

Will Solana dip to $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

No position

Will Solana reach $180 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.93

Yes position

Will Solana reach $185 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Astros position

Astros vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ugo Coussaud finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

No 68% 50 shares
Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

No 60% 50 shares
Will Manuel Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Yes 21% 50 shares
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?

Yes 15% 50 shares
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

No 63.4% 50 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 29% 50 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 31% 50 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 43% 50 shares
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

No 39.9% 50 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 27.2% 50 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 38% 50 shares