Polymarket Trader

arbarb123

0x5894f4f6895a6b653dfe27a3145b64dad1fac28e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $222.11
Realized PnL: $2.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $110.5
Potential payout: $24.56K
Potential profit: $24.45K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$12.28

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $108.62
Potential payout: $24.14K
Potential profit: $24.03K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$12.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 16?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.03K
Potential profit: $17.03K
User PnL: -$96.55

Yes position

Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $8.34K
User PnL: -$202.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 16?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.09K
Potential profit: $8.09K
User PnL: -$37.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$93.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 16?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$308.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$7.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$154.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $1.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$225

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $812.74
Potential profit: $812.74
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $792.66
Potential profit: $792.66
User PnL: -$47.43

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.21
Potential profit: $787.21
User PnL: -$158.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.74

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.73

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.4

Under position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.54

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.14

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.67

Over position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Under position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $18.78

Over position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

Over position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $13.96

Under position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 6% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 11% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 26% 96.15 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 19.2% 130.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 17% 147.06 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Up 45% 208.43 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Up 16.6% 103.76 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET

Down 0.1% 2,940 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET

Down 3% 166.67 shares