Yes position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $231.48
- Potential profit
- $229.86
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Polymarket Trader
0x58b525Bb8cf69214d66288d3F5Aa8Ca4DddD02e6-1766247696859
0x58b525bb8cf69214d66288d3f5aa8ca4dddd02e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.44
- Realized PnL
- $184.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.08
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $32.46
- Potential profit
- $20.89
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No 30.8% 32.46 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 0.4% 116.27 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 4.3% 116.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown 68% 11.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown 43% 11.15 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No 19% 52.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 50% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 7?Yes 12% 9.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 7?Yes 24% 9.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?Yes 32% 9.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?Yes 22% 9.61 shares