Polymarket Trader

ThePredictionMinute

@KahvillianArc

0x58c0b3cb1c4f154421319ce4629014a4791be64f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.26
Realized PnL: $676.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.76
Potential profit: $962.76
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.6
Potential profit: $177.6
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.2
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.79
Potential profit: $83.79
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.7

Rex Regum Qeon position

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: -$0.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.15

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.27

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.79

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 27 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 70% 50 shares
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Yes 31.2% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 16% 25 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 5 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 100 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 16% 10 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 45% 10 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 77.11 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5

Under 74.1% 7.58 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5

Under 65.9% 7.59 shares
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinski

Gustavo Heide 37% 10 shares