N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$25.81
Polymarket Trader
KylianMbapu
0x58ceeb7f6c3ae7aff58cc68ff2f1f4c6e5a657c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.46
- Realized PnL
- $754.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$39.52
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$34.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $3.68
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.05 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $2.6
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.7
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.74
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.37
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.35
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.76
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.6
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.39
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 65% 29 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 87 shares
- Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 51 shares
- Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 51 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 34% 29 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 35% 20.36 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 58% 50 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 21% 42.73 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 25% 5 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 67% 5 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 41% 50 shares