Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $9.3K
- User PnL
- -$204.6
Polymarket Trader
mangotree
0x58d8248b1d54ce937733eb4b64fd6a2932d07a4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $132.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01K
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.34
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.33
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 41,700 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes 99.7% 448,998.68 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes 99.6% 45,750 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 99.3% 78,522.7 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 99.2% 20,826.01 shares
- No airdrop in 2025?No 99.9% 41,006.77 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes 99.9% 26,783.7 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 99.9% 56,036.65 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 99.8% 53,181.31 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 99.7% 20,000 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes 95.6% 11,944.37 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes 94.9% 17,236.78 shares