No position
Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $159.52
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338
0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.03
- Realized PnL
- $23.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $125.69
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $16.15
- Potential payout
- $111.4
- Potential profit
- $95.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $100.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $101.33
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $97.86
- Multiplier
- 14.71x
- User PnL
- $3.51
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $7.26
- Potential payout
- $103.69
- Potential profit
- $96.43
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $94.99
- Potential profit
- $89.29
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $84.87
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $74.92
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $71.53
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $1.54
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $60.13
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $64.18
- Potential profit
- $62.38
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $51.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.8
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $58.78
- Potential profit
- $57.72
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $54.29
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $52.86
- Potential profit
- $36.21
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.73
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $42.41
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $43.27
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.24x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Ends Oct 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.55x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?No 28% 5 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 77% 6.49 shares