Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $399K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1K
Polymarket Trader
BGN
0x58f4d3b7dc4ed3bba763c620264b987cc75812a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.72K
- Realized PnL
- $32.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $222.22K
- Potential profit
- $221K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $199.5K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $500
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.83K
- Potential profit
- $116.83K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.79K
- Potential profit
- $19.79K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.35K
- Potential profit
- $19.35K
- User PnL
- -$390.29
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- User PnL
- -$9.91
No position
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.18K
- User PnL
- -$623.93
No position
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- User PnL
- -$680.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$205.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- User PnL
- -$28.17
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$19.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$220
No position
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$260
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$20.1
No position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$433.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$99.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$310.54
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$21.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$66.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$164.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$28.99
No position
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$123.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61K
Yes position
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.6
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.42
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $668.87
No position
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.67
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $541.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.41
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.46
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.46
No position
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.02
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
No position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.37
No position
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 1.9% 52.99 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 1.3% 797.35 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 222,222 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 200,000 shares
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 400,000 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?No 99% 491.72 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 73.7% 19,195.41 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 0.7% 27,240.74 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 1.6% 3,703.73 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 2.6% 2,353.11 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 2.7% 14,429.92 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 2% 7,167.33 shares