Polymarket Trader

KerwinBi

@Surplus_Fish

0x58f54e248219d91330462d2037ef26c0699c47ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.41
Realized PnL: $104.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $10.97
Potential payout: $47.7
Potential profit: $36.73
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $27.22
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $13.55
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $12.76
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.31

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.73
Potential payout: $10.94
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.13
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.23

Belgium position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Japan position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.12

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?

Yes 14.4% 21.73 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?

No 83% 1.2 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 48% 8.33 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 15.9% 12.58 shares
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?

No 39% 5.13 shares
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?

No 54% 1.85 shares
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?

No 62% 1.61 shares