Polymarket Trader

jo-shmo

0x58fac5b96bce69e09f41c56a751a9be822cc5a5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.34K
Realized PnL: $8.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $6.18K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $457.81
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: -$542.19

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$415.29

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$666.29

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $951.58
Potential profit: $951.58
User PnL: -$52.64

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752.35
Potential profit: $752.35
User PnL: -$254

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.42
Potential profit: $671.42
User PnL: -$349.14

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.05
Potential profit: $424.05
User PnL: -$84.81

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Cowboys position

Vikings vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.28
Potential profit: $158.28
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.12
Potential profit: $111.12
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.79

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.17

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.07

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.61

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.11

Chimaev position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.45

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.5

Yes position

Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?

Ends May 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.63

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.34

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.01

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.69

Yes position

Wormhole token FDV more than 7 billion a week after airdrop?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.32

Yes position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.81

Pacers position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.1

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.03

No position

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $86.41

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.04

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.8

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 50% 2,000 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 3,125 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 99.9% 2,572.73 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

99.2% 599.73 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 30% 200 shares
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Over 20% 424.05 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 32% 354.54 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 33% 2,727.27 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 99.1% 925.92 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 925.93 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

25.7% 599.73 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

9% 1,620.53 shares