Polymarket Trader

metadenial

0x59041db82941ed86e45d803409ea0c9625338099

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $161.71
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

WBT position

Counter-Strike: WBT vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $445.75
Potential profit: $388.25
Multiplier: 7.75x
User PnL: $14.73

Geekay Esports position

Overwatch: Virtus.pro vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Playoffs

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $196.91
Potential profit: $187.56
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $100.83
Potential profit: $98.06
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.46
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.75
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: $0.56

Canada position

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $12.89
Potential payout: $75.62
Potential profit: $62.73
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $22.8
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $37.2
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.5
Potential profit: $53.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.7
Potential profit: $52.7
User PnL: -$30.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.73
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $3.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $14.16
Potential payout: $37.27
Potential profit: $23.11
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $35.95
User PnL: -$23.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.98
Potential profit: $34.98
User PnL: -$18

No position

Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.6
Potential profit: $34.6
User PnL: -$8.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 54.62 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Yes 29% 50 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 36.36 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 33% 37.27 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

No 94% 3.19 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Yes 28.4% 50 shares
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Yes 38% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?

Yes 9% 8.18 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 196.91 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

No 92% 13.46 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?

Yes 35% 8.57 shares