Polymarket Trader

alternativ

0x5916b496305866be71dca6ab72251b8b33e9a3fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $240.5
Realized PnL: $644.36
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$63

No position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $215.27
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$110.3

Yes position

Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $943.4
Potential profit: $943.4
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850.82
Potential profit: $850.82
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $678.22
Potential profit: $678.22
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $594
Potential profit: $594
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.25
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.65
Potential profit: $322.65
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.56
Potential profit: $225.56
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.2
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $154.82
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $129.26
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $121.8
Potential profit: $117.42
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.8
Potential profit: $114.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $70.52
Potential profit: $70.06
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.55
Potential profit: $26.55
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.62

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.66

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

Yes position

Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 11.2% 448 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 30.5% 984.96 shares
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.8% 70.52 shares
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 1.9% 157.89 shares
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.5% 121.8 shares
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.3% 130.43 shares
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.8% 1,531.54 shares
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Yes 99.3% 38.16 shares