Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $135.79
- Potential payout
- $662.39
- Potential profit
- $526.6
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$115.38
Polymarket Trader
zzzerosumgame
@zzzerosumgame
0x59187e61f37d2127d19b9340bea51e4e051971f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $206.25
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$63.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $258.5
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $291.5
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $272.27
- Potential payout
- $442.71
- Potential profit
- $170.44
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$28.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $258.21
- Potential payout
- $258.34
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $204.26
- Potential payout
- $240.31
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $182.69
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $32.69
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $183.05
- Potential payout
- $189.19
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $169.21
- Potential payout
- $182.93
- Potential profit
- $13.72
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $19.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173
- Potential profit
- $173
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $166.75
- Potential payout
- $170.33
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $26.52
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$23.48
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $89.31
- Potential payout
- $98.68
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.31
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $72.89
- Potential payout
- $84.27
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $50.62
- Potential payout
- $63.67
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.95
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.42
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.61
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.21
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $44.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 49% 550 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 76% 98.68 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 89% 84.27 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 78.5% 63.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81.9% 189.19 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 91% 170.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.9% 66.37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 77.7% 64.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 90.4% 66.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 44% 681.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 182.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.7% 173 shares