No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.93
- Potential profit
- $120.93
- User PnL
- -$104
Polymarket Trader
sfghe
0x5922b8fa857927de4b1494aa68c54195a487ca2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.58
- Realized PnL
- $21.4
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $33.58
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 120.93 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 94.6% 33.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 85% 70.59 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 25.66 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 67% 44.78 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?No 94.3% 23.33 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 97.4% 25.67 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 70% 17.14 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 99% 17.87 shares
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 99.8% 19.54 shares
- Will Mark Brnovich be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?No 98.5% 18.23 shares
- Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No 98% 25.35 shares