Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Polymarket Trader
0x592b...0a49
0x592bb89b0529732188c19f3cd2610505f0030a49
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $8.04
- Realized PnL
- $14.42
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.95x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No 94% 5 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 93.7% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.8% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.1% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 33.7% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.4% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.9% 8 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.7% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 50.3% 6 shares