No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Polymarket Trader
optimaltrades
0x5935f2b13e4a591724cc2ed5d69b4bcf0aa76a21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.4
- Realized PnL
- -$185.19
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Heat
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Thunder position
Thunder vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$6.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$16.15
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 78% 40 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 77,815.38 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 77,815.38 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.5% 678.71 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.6% 678.71 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.8% 1,357.42 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.8% 50 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes 99.8% 482 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.7% 600 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes 99.9% 482 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.9% 50 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 36.8% 600 shares