No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $134.38K
- Potential payout
- $135.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$271.2
Polymarket Trader
bondor
0x59368957544eaf2e921b0b9b17471eadd30d0b7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.36K
- Realized PnL
- $6.22K
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- User PnL
- $1.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.66
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $795.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.97
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.85
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.32
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.36
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $21.32
No position
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.9% 20,083.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.5% 34,102.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 1,179.76 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.9% 135,570.06 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 99.9% 135,358.67 shares
- Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 99.9% 13,476.33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No 99.8% 2,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 37,703.88 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.9% 469.52 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 108 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 284.55 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 41,414.91 shares