Polymarket Trader

0x593c17Aa7664a11fac2bfC9407Feea8e557A4B27-1760414321209

0x593c17aa7664a11fac2bfc9407feea8e557a4b27

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.57K
Realized PnL: $804.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $3.39K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $152.6

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$68.9

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.52
Potential profit: $960.52
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $239.11
Potential payout: $625.12
Potential profit: $386.01
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $35.32

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.67
Potential profit: $280.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $262.15
Potential payout: $270.12
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $46.64

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.6
Potential profit: $215.6
User PnL: -$162.62

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.74
Potential profit: $27.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $20.14
Potential profit: $11.28
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $2.16

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $11.26
Potential payout: $20.1
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Ravens position

Spread: Ravens (-6.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$5

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yakutou Brothers position

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $2.47
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $380.01

Aurora position

Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.28

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.06

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.13

No position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.33

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.7%
Multiplier: 2.19x
User PnL: $41.66

Yes position

Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.18

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.86

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.54

Yes position

Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winner

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will "Sarah's Oil" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will "Predator: Badlands" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Wicked position

Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Greta Thunberg rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 13?

Up 58% 20.1 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?

Yes 33.3% 20.14 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 42.9% 2,907.83 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 60% 2,185.1 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.6% 625.12 shares
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes 96.3% 212.22 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 56% 3,389.91 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 4.88 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 1,363.44 shares
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes 79.8% 482.34 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 113.41 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 46% 359.04 shares