N
No position
Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $296.25
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Polymarket Trader
fafafaf111
0x594d8a30d544e3d00c3cf25339cd0f5da0fea217
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.26
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Graham Platner charged by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $29.97
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
N
No position
Will Neither Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.41
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.34
Y
Yes position
Will Neither Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $96.16
N
No position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $91.1
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $73.61
N
No position
Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.34
N
No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $45.55
N
No position
Will Dire Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Y
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $24.85
Y
Yes position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $22.05
No position
Will the US loose jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $18.5
N
No position
Will there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $15.8
No position
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Y
Yes position
Will Mike Williams be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.46
Y
Yes position
Will Dire Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Y
Yes position
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Graham Platner charged by August 31?No 77.9% 131.15 shares
- Graham Platner charged by August 31?No 71% 140.31 shares
- Graham Platner charged by August 31?No 71.6% 356.99 shares
- Graham Platner charged by August 31?Yes 17.6% 216.68 shares
- Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?Yes 94% 22 shares
- Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2Yes 29% 40 shares
- Will Neither Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?Yes 20% 96.07 shares
- Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2Yes 15.5% 40 shares
- Will Dire Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?Yes 41% 100 shares
- Will Dire Win More Games at the Dota EWC 2026?No 12% 100 shares