Polymarket Trader

0x594eff3e062cD7929826Aaba59aaAa684a32f2E7-1773789177212

0x594eff3e062cd7929826aaba59aaaa684a32f2e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $526.6
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $7.19K
User PnL: -$7.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $426.14
Potential payout: $897.14
Potential profit: $471
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$31.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.9
Potential profit: $497.9
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $229.05
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$10.95

No position

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $55.77
Potential payout: $62.31
Potential profit: $6.54
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $31.77

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.8%
Current value: $35.64
Potential payout: $56.71
Potential profit: $21.07
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$15

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.42
Potential profit: $16.42
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.39
Potential profit: $12.39
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Trump post "Peace Through Strength" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0

No position

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 36.7% 136.08 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 47% 202.13 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 28% 17.86 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 56% 67.86 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 56% 464.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 56% 26.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 71% 140.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 67% 149.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 70.7% 141.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 71% 140.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 76% 131.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Down 99% 503.95 shares