Polymarket Trader

rip

0x59506f839022561f48eec644d3460439bc508c48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.87K
Realized PnL: $43.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$841.86

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.93K
Potential profit: $9.93K
User PnL: -$181.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.63K
Potential profit: $9.63K
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4K
Potential profit: $8.4K
User PnL: -$1.4K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.85K
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $224.01
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $65.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$840

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $381.29
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$10.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$311.19

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$74.56

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$617.64

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $288.27
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$369.7

Yes position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $689.2
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $71.04

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$172.5

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $92.1
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$33.06

Yes position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $118.22
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $43.15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $256.76
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$31.2

Yes position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $780.94
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $765.48
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$32.26

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $333.9
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $174.1

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $962.41
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $346.99
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$44.3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$935

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $565
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $425
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $575
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $805
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$101.51

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Will None in 2025 occur?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.96K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $997.49

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996.73

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.8

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 19% 971.26 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 20% 442.64 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 11.7% 320.2 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 21.1% 1,613.88 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 18.9% 30 shares
GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 13% 7.63 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

Yes 14% 203 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 14.8% 444.81 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 16.8% 62.7 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 15% 30 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 15% 1,000 shares
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 78.5% 263.78 shares