Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $47.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $32.4
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $23.6
Polymarket Trader
0x8fe8B083F8E8Faed7B8aef2e3e93CEb17a9fbd1d-1771935749366
0x5957b1e41b24d7c2a81ab13fad85a5dc9e663939
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.6
- Realized PnL
- $230.37
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.22
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.37
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 29% 124.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 27.4% 124.21 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 30% 80 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Yes 7.5% 250.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Yes 19.2% 250.55 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 148.36 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 18.3% 132.59 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.1% 72.26 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.1% 105.55 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 105.56 shares