Polymarket Trader

UranusProbe

0x5968454ab9fa39745d5d4adf78f23b80ebe53fc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.92K
Realized PnL: $8.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.33

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $865
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $135
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $609.76
Potential payout: $628.29
Potential profit: $18.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $84.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $21.57
Potential payout: $625.16
Potential profit: $603.59
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$437.26

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $203.81
Potential payout: $457.99
Potential profit: $254.18
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$47.71

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $168.72
Potential payout: $456
Potential profit: $287.28
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$87.26

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $450.02
Potential profit: $407.27
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$17.97

Uruguay position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $258.64
Potential payout: $424
Potential profit: $165.36
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $4.24

Belgium position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $173.46
Potential payout: $417.99
Potential profit: $244.52
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.27

No position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.9%
Current value: $303.77
Potential payout: $411.34
Potential profit: $107.56
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $65.19

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $58.62
Potential payout: $386.9
Potential profit: $328.29
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$34.01

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $356.31
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $5.57
Potential payout: $327.89
Potential profit: $322.32
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$50.91

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $294.26
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $0.74
User PnL: $19.91

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $262.51
Potential payout: $286.74
Potential profit: $24.23
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $13.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $202.19
Potential payout: $271.39
Potential profit: $69.2
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $15.5

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $120.57
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $144.42
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $14.45
Potential payout: $246.98
Potential profit: $232.53
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$7.68

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $230.71
Potential profit: $230.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $19.23
Potential payout: $226.23
Potential profit: $207
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$133.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $126.54
Potential payout: $220.07
Potential profit: $93.53
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$17.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $155.4
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $54.6
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$19.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $648.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.42

Jack Pinnington Jones position

Ilkley: Harry Wendelken vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.74

Taro Daniel position

Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.63

Chile position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.33

Dplus KIA position

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.55

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.14

No position

Nigeria leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.8

Under position

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.8

Conor Gannon position

Dublin: Bernard Tomic vs Conor Gannon

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.54

No position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.1

Bruins position

Bruins vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.6

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.49

Houston Astros position

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.23

Donna Vekic position

HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.55

Under position

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.65

Under position

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.5

No position

France leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.05

Gauthier Onclin position

Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.45

Ekaterine Gorgodze position

Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.78

Côte dIvoire position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.24

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.31

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 17.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

No 88% 11 shares
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Yes 12% 0.72 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 91.9% 29 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5

Under 49% 5.11 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5

Under 42% 5.12 shares
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Jiaqi Wang

Varvara Panshina 26% 1.42 shares
ITF Zhengzhou: Varvara Panshina vs Jiaqi Wang

Varvara Panshina 21% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

No 89% 15 shares
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

PortlandFire 52% 5 shares
ITF Maanshan: Shintaro Imai vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Shintaro Imai 44% 2.82 shares
ITF Maanshan: Shintaro Imai vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Shintaro Imai 48% 5 shares