Yes position
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
TonnyPusher
0x59686141128448f103be06611e95d84bd39f1d08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.73
- Realized PnL
- $423.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $889.99
- Potential profit
- $886.43
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.01
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $554.72
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $477.58
- Potential profit
- $477.58
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.88
- Potential profit
- $205.88
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $57.15
- Potential profit
- $55.35
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$18.2
No position
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.51
- Potential profit
- $51.51
- User PnL
- -$21.25
No position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $44.97
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Under position
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.67
- Potential profit
- $33.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.55
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Under position
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $24.98
- User PnL
- -$11.99
No position
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39
- Potential profit
- $20.39
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Over position
Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Over position
Kings vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Under position
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
No position
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.56
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Under position
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.9
No position
Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Yes position
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Over 3.5 position
Joao Fonseca vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $14
Under position
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Clippers position
Lakers vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Under position
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Rockets position
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- $10
Over position
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Over position
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Over position
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Under position
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 13% 46.15 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Joao Fonseca vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 68% 44.12 shares
- Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes 23% 65.22 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 2.4% 205.88 shares
- Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 2.6% 192.31 shares
- Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Yes 3.9% 642.79 shares
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?No 74% 6.76 shares