No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $42.41K
- Potential profit
- $38.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $247.52
Polymarket Trader
aaron107
0x5969ad859ca21e7cad3acc3253199bac63f05bed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.33K
- Realized PnL
- $44.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Under position
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.59K
- Potential profit
- $11.59K
- User PnL
- -$10.54K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.2%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 3.68x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$351.45
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $215
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Over position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.28
- Potential profit
- $54.28
- User PnL
- -$53.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.63
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.8
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.36
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.6
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.28
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.84
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.09
Yes position
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.69
No position
Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.84
Under position
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 8.6% 7,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 8.5% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 8.4% 22,589.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 13% 11.49 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 12.6% 4,580.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 10% 318 shares