Polymarket Trader

kxt81419

0x597906db2bf48b80c8d471b6e802d8d5b19a7fbd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $574.13
Realized PnL: $2.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $15.55
Potential payout: $840.55
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$20.59

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $52.85
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $647.15
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $47.52
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $502.48
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: -$2.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $82.99
Potential payout: $291.31
Potential profit: $208.32
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $63.85
Potential payout: $177.35
Potential profit: $113.5
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $51.63
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $123.38
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.9%
Current value: $70.31
Potential payout: $153.35
Potential profit: $83.04
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: $31.44

No position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $55.85
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $97.16
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.25
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $89
User PnL: -$24.68

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $86.98
Potential profit: $39.58
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $45.9
Potential payout: $76.5
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $19.13

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $28.1
Potential payout: $57.94
Potential profit: $29.84
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.9

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.76

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $208.53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.15

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $153.2

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.04

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $145.17

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $125.89

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.82

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $114.64

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $98.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $90.54

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.4

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.37

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.13

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $15.03

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $11.87

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

No position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $9.07

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Yes 37% 12.03 shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes 28.3% 6 shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes 27.4% 20 shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Yes 27.3% 10.59 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 39% 177.35 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 34.02 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 35 shares
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 55.66 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 73.5 shares
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 49% 25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 74% 326.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 72% 153.62 shares