Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Polymarket Trader
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698
0x597f1a30c93298c3f26b6f3fab92746b2f74702c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.45
- Realized PnL
- -$28.57
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $620.31
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $583.33
- Potential profit
- $580.71
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $471.73
- Potential profit
- $463.95
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $450.63
- Potential profit
- $444.1
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $283.43
- Potential profit
- $278.9
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $205.29
- Potential profit
- $203.34
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $43.83
- Potential profit
- $42.93
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $26.79
- Potential profit
- $21.29
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $15.56
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.49
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $6.93
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $6.68
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.1% 243.23 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.3% 993.33 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 1,100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.3% 1,100 shares