Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $168
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $632
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
0x5986747c0cA0d457cdd086f9387DC4F2BC4D83E3-1747115560435
0x5986747c0ca0d457cdd086f9387dc4f2bc4d83e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $726.45
- Realized PnL
- $4.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $279.96
- Potential payout
- $699.91
- Potential profit
- $419.95
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$65.94
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549.53
- Potential profit
- $549.53
- User PnL
- -$35.72
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $460
- User PnL
- -$19.32
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$20.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$148
Yes position
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $186
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $173.98
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $75.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$129.2
Yes position
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.19
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.37
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.4
Yes position
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.73
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.48
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.02
No position
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.45
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158
Yes position
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.45
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.96
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.52
Yes position
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.3
Yes position
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.6
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.11
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Yes position
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.5
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $91.8
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 31% 100 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 27% 100 shares
- Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 27% 100 shares