Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $70.2
- Potential payout
- $70.45
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $49.33
Polymarket Trader
0x5992...28c1
0x5992f2c367e2fafe2731a3185132034e2f4628c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.75
- Realized PnL
- $195.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $30.43
- Potential profit
- $27.54
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $25.65
- Potential payout
- $26.3
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.33
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETDown 63% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown 39% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown 2% 407 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown 26% 26.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp 80% 23.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETUp 67% 17.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp 45% 22.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp 42% 26.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp 60% 14.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp 37% 15.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETDown 48% 16.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 38% 28.24 shares