Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $63.47
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$116.53
Polymarket Trader
0x599Ec35AAC3ff0848614Dcf3392705Cc1a74085B-1765751888113
0x599ec35aac3ff0848614dcf3392705cc1a74085b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387.26
- Realized PnL
- $24.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $170.53
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$139.47
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385.96
- Potential profit
- $385.96
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.18
- Potential profit
- $335.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.83
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.37
- Potential profit
- $166.37
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.5
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $82.67
- Potential payout
- $89.37
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $32.67
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.47
- Potential profit
- $64.47
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $37.04
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.39
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 24% 270.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 44.5% 151.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 33% 151.52 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 185.19 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10% 300 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 30% 333.33 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 40% 125 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 40% 62.5 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 40% 62.5 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes 46.5% 64.47 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes 21.6% 92.5 shares