Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $9.32K
- Potential payout
- $40.09K
- Potential profit
- $30.77K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Polymarket Trader
Polybius
@0xgpdoubler
0x59a75d6dc5777786d4f28305e4ab8866beba9f30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.46K
- Realized PnL
- $244.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $18.16K
- Potential profit
- $16.97K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $723.15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $15.33K
- Potential payout
- $16.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $895.66
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $6.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$404.99
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.67K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $327.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $422.5
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $22.46
- User PnL
- $277
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$221.05
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $287.98
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $82.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$652.5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $877.19
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $199.78
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $246.09
Yes position
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $165
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $869.36
- Potential profit
- $869.36
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $452.45
- Potential payout
- $499.94
- Potential profit
- $47.49
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $217.47
No position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $305.58
- Potential payout
- $308.51
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $115.02
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.74
- Potential profit
- $104.74
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $94
- User PnL
- -$13.16
Over position
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $64
- User PnL
- -$36.48
No position
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.31K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.86K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.91K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $828.37
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.42
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.19
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.94
Eagles position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.62
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.64
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.77
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $249.99
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.1
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $186.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "abortion" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
No position
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.93
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Over 57% 64 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 5,000 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 5,000 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 40% 19.24 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 17% 499.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown 69% 17.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown 29% 17.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 70.5% 52.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 47.9% 52.15 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 66.5% 10,000 shares