bocpm

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.74
Potential profit: $179.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $100.4
Potential payout: $113.45
Potential profit: $13.05
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.78
Potential profit: $112.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.13
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $33.61
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $33.98
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.77
Potential profit: $13.77
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET