Polymarket Trader

sepolo

0x59b5af641cc6885ba6edb6d9de8803f9cda44c12

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $763.07
Realized PnL: $5.38K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $761.81
Potential payout: $72.55K
Potential profit: $71.79K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$36.2

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.91K
Potential profit: $24.91K
User PnL: -$99.63

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$49.31

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.06
Potential profit: $759.06
User PnL: -$360

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $618.48
Potential profit: $618.48
User PnL: -$62.07

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.14
Potential profit: $37.14
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86
Potential profit: $4.86
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.51

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $1.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.46

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.91

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 27,099.09 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 45,454.55 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 3% 805 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 6% 805 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 2.6% 762.52 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 2.9% 348.82 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 2.6% 744.04 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 0.3% 28,756.3 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 3.5% 28,756.3 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 0.2% 7,142.85 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 1.1% 573.23 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 2.5% 4,050.85 shares