Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $47.85
- Potential payout
- $354.45
- Potential profit
- $306.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Polymarket Trader
0x59b8...11a5
0x59b89bd107de41f7356a323e5025a348c31a11a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $524.84
- Realized PnL
- -$0.01
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
France position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Current value
- $199.56
- Potential payout
- $336.13
- Potential profit
- $136.57
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $41.93
- Potential payout
- $270.52
- Potential profit
- $228.59
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance 59.5% 336.13 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 28% 200 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 66% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 13% 343.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 15% 253.92 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.9% 5.56 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 5.49 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.2% 5.49 shares