Polymarket Trader

zarboxyl

0x59c7fd3c203ee9c6d5ee9a05863e80c2598f4ccc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.61K
Realized PnL: $334.18
Win rate: 53.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.25K
Potential payout: $239.01K
Potential profit: $230.77K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $4.36K

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $126.07K
Potential profit: $124.12K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $528.87

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $176.22
Potential payout: $50.35K
Potential profit: $50.17K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$75.17

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $102.1
Potential payout: $7.04K
Potential profit: $6.94K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$31.68

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$469.42

Yes position

3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$134.49

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $127.94
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$12.03

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$284.98

Yes position

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Arizona rally?

Ends Sep 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $910
Potential profit: $910
User PnL: -$100.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.81
Potential profit: $887.81
User PnL: -$195.32

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.93
Potential profit: $857.93
User PnL: -$61.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "moderator" during his Arizona rally?

Ends Sep 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

2 or more Vance vs. Walz debates before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.77
Potential profit: $396.77
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Abdul" during his Arizona rally?

Ends Sep 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Solana above $190 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: -$99.75

No position

Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.2
Potential profit: $98.2
User PnL: -$28.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.08

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.22

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.67

Yes position

Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.83

Yes position

Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.27

Yes position

Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$85.36

Yes position

Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$281.22

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$318.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 7,041.06 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 2,187 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 349.86 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 16,709.73 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 31,071 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 11,800 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 20,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 11,021 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 30,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 60,000 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

No 88% 144.15 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 74,775 shares