Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.75
- Potential profit
- $66.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x59D8c8267Fc9c4F6b0788E775Ad2f68E8BF15EeC-1768973743788
0x59d8c8267fc9c4f6b0788e775ad2f68e8bf15eec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.49
- Realized PnL
- $12.66
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.6
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$1
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Magic
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.3
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $9.58
- Potential profit
- $9.56
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Warriors position
Pistons vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
LYON position
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.57
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Knicks
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Sabalenka position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.47
KOLESIE position
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Fingers Crossed position
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
G2 Esports position
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will James Harden be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 18, 2026?No 4.8% 20.83 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?Yes 43% 2.08 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No 52% 1.85 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Yes 68% 1.47 shares
- Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 39% 1.51 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes 10.4% 9.58 shares
- Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 66% 1.52 shares
- Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No 48% 2.22 shares