jinhua34

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $166
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $71
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$3.58

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $98.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $57.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $71
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $47.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$27.9

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$29.34

No position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$29.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?