Yes position
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.26K
- Potential profit
- $158.26K
- User PnL
- -$4.9K
Polymarket Trader
undertaker
0x59ee6c6a56d7b00223f0c30f8002c4df762b684d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $13.72M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.06K
- Potential profit
- $92.06K
- User PnL
- -$5.75K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.03K
- Potential profit
- $92.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.75K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.62K
- Potential profit
- $86.62K
- User PnL
- -$5.41K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.19K
- Potential profit
- $81.19K
- User PnL
- -$5.07K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.25K
- Potential profit
- $71.25K
- User PnL
- -$4.45K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.57K
- Potential profit
- $52.57K
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.32K
- Potential profit
- $50.32K
- User PnL
- -$3.14K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.16K
- Potential profit
- $11.16K
- User PnL
- -$697.57
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- User PnL
- -$219.48
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- User PnL
- -$219.47
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$207.67
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$207.52
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$894.7
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$320.52
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- User PnL
- -$247.63
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.77K
- User PnL
- -$715.63
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$159.08
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$159.09
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$159.08
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$552.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.31M
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89M
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75M
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29M
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $642.8K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.82K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.46K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.18K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.58K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.26K
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.43K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.32K
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74K
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.09K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.88K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.42K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.54K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.03K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.41K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.14K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes 0.3% 899.38 shares
- Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?Yes 0.2% 899.38 shares
- Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?Yes 5.2% 899.38 shares
- Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes 3.2% 899.39 shares
- Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes 81.2% 899.38 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes 1.7% 5,098.02 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes 0.1% 5,098.03 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes 0.4% 5,098.03 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes 93.8% 5,098.03 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes 0.6% 1,826.1 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes 2% 1,826.1 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes 76.2% 1,826.1 shares