No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $193.34
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $880.75
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$166.66
Polymarket Trader
0x59f8582B60446041d4cDEB1B303712612Ce61cA8-1766994545403
0x59f8582b60446041d4cdeb1b303712612ce61ca8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $519.02
- Realized PnL
- -$197.37
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $202.56
- Potential payout
- $512.82
- Potential profit
- $310.26
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $97.98
- Potential payout
- $258.53
- Potential profit
- $160.55
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$86.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $122.07
- Potential profit
- $114.14
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$42.07
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $55.97
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.24
- Potential profit
- $52.24
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.96
- Potential profit
- $50.96
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $16.61
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.46
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.69
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$193.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38.8% 128.78 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38.5% 129.75 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 39% 512.82 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 35% 285.71 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 35% 286 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 33.8% 295.48 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 29% 34.48 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 29% 172.41 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 20% 41.66 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes 67% 52.24 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 78.5% 26.75 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 78.5% 24.21 shares