Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $75.07
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.08
Polymarket Trader
revol
0x5a0d97cb84e5a204bbe4025c6709cecb1565c6be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.69K
- Realized PnL
- $2.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $773.88
- Potential payout
- $9.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $228.5
Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $27.85
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $53.1
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $357.02
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $68.74
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $23.55
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $993.46
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $34.65
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $865.35
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.97
- Potential profit
- $849.97
- User PnL
- -$180.76
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $708
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $35.44
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $439.99
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $407.48
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $330.18
- Potential payout
- $446.19
- Potential profit
- $116.01
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $40.83
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $167.28
- Potential payout
- $413.03
- Potential profit
- $245.75
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $39.21
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $75.28
- Potential payout
- $358.46
- Potential profit
- $283.18
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $28.66
- Potential payout
- $320.23
- Potential profit
- $291.57
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $10.28
No position
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $205.98
- Potential payout
- $243.76
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $224.1
- Potential profit
- $205.17
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $13.34
No position
Will Gabriel Attal announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.81
- Potential profit
- $125.81
- User PnL
- -$7.95
No position
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $98.95
- Potential payout
- $124.46
- Potential profit
- $25.51
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $107.4
- Potential payout
- $117.38
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.81
Yes position
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.04
No position
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $239.91
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.64
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $84.25
No position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.06
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.82
Yes position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.83
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $62.44
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.97
Yes position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.79
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.35
No position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.75
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $57.83
No position
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.89
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.92
No position
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
No position
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.49
No position
Macron out as president of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
Yes position
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $25.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump praise Vladimir Putin on Friday?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.77
No position
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 500 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No 74% 12.36 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 62% 10 shares
- Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No 64.5% 92.1 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No 14% 499.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 94% 65 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 15 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 21% 5.7 shares
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 88% 80.74 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 21% 5.7 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 21% 12.3 shares