Polymarket Trader

whales

0x5a11f359ef51bc420d9b56385d613bb4bdfa899b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.04
Realized PnL: $67.77
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.78
Potential profit: $61.78
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $50.22
Potential profit: $47.83
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $48.42
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $49.42
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $49.27
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $50.02
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $23.43
Potential payout: $23.9
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $23.9
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$11.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

Will a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will a Democrat win Indiana Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Elon Bull Run Parlay

No 84% 50.2 shares
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 2.6% 50.2 shares
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 1.8% 50.2 shares
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 2.1% 50.2 shares
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 6.8% 50.2 shares
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 6% 50.22 shares
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

No 63.3% 63.2 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Yes 4% 61.78 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 47% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

No 98.6% 28.49 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 49% 28 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 39% 28 shares