Polymarket Trader

noyes00

0x5a148fa8cb2a064539ee7fb0752681d8cf393ad7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $335.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$19.19

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$23.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6.68

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $891.26
Potential profit: $891.26
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830
Potential profit: $830
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.1
Potential profit: $738.1
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $658.84
Potential profit: $658.84
User PnL: -$10.48

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.02
Potential profit: $599.02
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.67
Potential profit: $541.67
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.97
Potential profit: $524.97
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.02
Potential profit: $522.02
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467.4
Potential profit: $467.4
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $445.13
Potential profit: $445.13
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.44
Potential profit: $381.44
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.58
Potential profit: $374.58
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.29
Potential profit: $365.29
User PnL: -$15.57

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.18
Potential profit: $339.18
User PnL: -$13.68

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.68
Potential profit: $327.68
User PnL: -$5.62

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.01
Potential profit: $309.01
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.12
Potential profit: $264.12
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.8
Potential profit: $255.8
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.89
Potential profit: $251.89
User PnL: -$8.96

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $129.82

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.45

Yes position

Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.94

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $19.81

Yes position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Grok remain the #1 model through March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Kanye tweet again by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Yes 0.3% 2,938.17 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 3.8% 5,520.69 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 7% 20.43 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 3.7% 4,199.12 shares
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?

Yes 0.2% 700 shares
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Yes 10% 60 shares
Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Yes 0.2% 176.76 shares
Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 0.2% 223.6 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 0.2% 333.33 shares
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 1.1% 108.06 shares
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 8.7% 34.37 shares