Polymarket Trader

Hermer

0x5a211722786dc041c2fa51cddedae245dc803cff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.16
Realized PnL: -$4.95
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $56.37
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $33.9
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.26
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.1

Under position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.02

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.03

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.03

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.03

Under position

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.02

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?

No 0.1% 1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?

No 0.1% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?

No 7% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?

No 78% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 10?

No 77% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 8?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?

No 90% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?

No 81% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 8?

No 34% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?

No 28% 5 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 47% 5 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 66% 5 shares