Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $138.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $461.7
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $36.3
Polymarket Trader
0x5a3354a0A35d00d2A1DBE6Cea0e37e9c30A2Ca0D-1769069975945
0x5a3354a0a35d00d2a1dbe6cea0e37e9c30a2ca0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.3
- Realized PnL
- $661.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$17.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.99
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- User PnL
- -$10.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.33
- Potential profit
- $15.33
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.54
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $21.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.66
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?Yes 10.8% 25.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?Yes 11.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?Yes 11.4% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 28?Yes 12% 19.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?No 93.2% 4.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 25?Yes 7.5% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?No 86% 4.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 22?Yes 12.8% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?Yes 33% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?Yes 31% 8 shares