NTYLD

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $813.44
Potential profit: $813.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$59.79

Yes position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $88.1
Potential payout: $326.28
Potential profit: $238.19
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$33.89

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $271.08
Potential profit: $260.37
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $6.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $95.15
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $16.71
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $75.88
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $6.71

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.43
Potential profit: $91.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $74.63
Potential profit: $69.66
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $18.03
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $36.03
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $8.03

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $41.98
Potential profit: $40.19
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$13

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $13.39
Potential payout: $33.91
Potential profit: $20.52
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $28.36
Potential payout: $32.41
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.56

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$14.8

Maccabi Tel-Aviv position

Spread: Maccabi Tel-Aviv (-4.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.57
Potential profit: $29.57
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $99.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

No position

Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

Over position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET