Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $248.53
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Polymarket Trader
ksterlya
0x5a56e6ed4c902f358f1f41f9922cfdbd9af5cec4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $381.42
- Realized PnL
- $44.25
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $141.05
- Potential profit
- $132.45
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $111.67
- Potential profit
- $108.15
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$16.48
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $62.46
- Potential payout
- $98.36
- Potential profit
- $35.9
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $58.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $11.2
- Potential payout
- $55.87
- Potential profit
- $44.66
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $30.52
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.24
- Potential profit
- $15.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $7.85
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.63
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $8.53
Yes position
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Y
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$20.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 92.3% 32.5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 65.6% 15.24 shares
- World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Yes 98.4% 30.49 shares
- World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Yes 98.3% 10.17 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 235.29 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 58.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 3.3% 744.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 96.6% 20.65 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes 14% 310.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 96.2% 10.4 shares